tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Denver: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:50 MSP → 06:55 DEN
    WN 1525 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 DEN → 09:15 SMF
    WN 1738 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 25mMSP 05:50 to SMF 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.