tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Nashville: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:05 MSP → 09:10 BNA
    WN 1528 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:50 ORF
    WN 4688 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 62% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 45mMSP 07:05 to ORF 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.