tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Portland via Nashville: arrives on time 57%

  1. 07:05 MSP → 09:10 BNA
    WN 1528 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 BNA → 14:40 PWM
    WN 651 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 35mMSP 07:05 to PWM 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.