tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fresno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 16%

  1. 20:35 DEN → 21:30 LAS
    WN 1566 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 44% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 LAS → 00:08 FAT +1 day
    WN 407 · Southwest · 1h 18m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fresno is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip4h 33mDEN 20:35 to FAT 00:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.