tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Indianapolis via Las Vegas: arrives on time 8%

  1. 17:00 LAX → 18:15 LAS
    WN 1571 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 34% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 LAS → 01:45 IND +1 day
    WN 2248 · Southwest · 3h 38m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection20%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 80% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (20%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 43mLAX 17:00 to IND 01:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.