tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 17:00 LAX → 18:15 LAS
    WN 1571 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 34% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 LAS → 01:30 MDW +1 day
    WN 3200 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip5h 55mLAX 17:00 to MDW 01:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.