tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 15%

  1. 17:00 LAX → 18:15 LAS
    WN 1571 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 34% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 LAS → 20:45 SJC
    WN 3865 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip3h 45mLAX 17:00 to SJC 20:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.