tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 90%

  1. 13:05 OAK → 14:40 PDX
    WN 1577 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:48 PDX → 20:04 SBA
    AS 2029 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 16m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 59mOAK 13:05 to SBA 20:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.