tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → San Diego via Kansas City: arrives on time 22%

  1. 14:45 DEN → 17:25 MCI
    WN 1587 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 51% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 MCI → 19:35 SAN
    WN 4457 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 50mDEN 14:45 to SAN 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.