tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Los Angeles via Denver: arrives on time 5%

  1. 15:00 TUS → 17:55 DEN
    WN 1599 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 DEN → 20:15 LAX
    WN 2217 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 16% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time5%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (16%).
Total trip5h 15mTUS 15:00 to LAX 20:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.