tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 14%

  1. 13:00 DEN → 16:20 MDW
    WN 1601 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 MDW → 20:20 LGA
    WN 556 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 30% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip5h 20mDEN 13:00 to LGA 20:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.