tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Detroit via Baltimore: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:50 MIA → 21:30 BWI
    WN 1624 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 40% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BWI → 00:20 DTW +1 day
    WN 942 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 25mMIA 18:50 to DTW 00:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.