tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → St Louis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 27%

  1. 13:42 DEN → 16:40 MSP
    WN 1638 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 MSP → 19:10 STL
    WN 2974 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 28mDEN 13:42 to STL 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.