tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Baltimore via Nashville: arrives on time 30%

  1. 10:30 LGB → 16:30 BNA
    WN 165 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 BNA → 23:15 BWI
    WN 468 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Long Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip9h 45mLGB 10:30 to BWI 23:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.