tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Midland via Denver: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:45 AUS → 11:55 DEN
    WN 1680 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:40 DEN → 16:34 MAF
    UA 5270 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 54m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 49mAUS 10:45 to MAF 16:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.