tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 9%

  1. 18:55 PHX → 21:30 PDX
    WN 1682 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 18% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 PDX → 00:30 OAK +1 day
    WN 3205 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip5h 30mPHX 18:55 to OAK 00:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.