tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:55 DEN → 19:50 PHX
    WN 1683 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 PHX → 22:25 SNA
    WN 4107 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 30mDEN 18:55 to SNA 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.