tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Reno via San Diego: arrives on time 7%

  1. 19:15 DEN → 20:40 SAN
    WN 1703 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 SAN → 23:38 RNO
    WN 2593 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 20% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time7%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (20%).
Total trip5h 23mDEN 19:15 to RNO 23:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.