tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Rapid City via Denver: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:15 PHX → 09:00 DEN
    WN 1706 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:15 DEN → 12:29 RAP
    UA 1623 · United · 1h 14m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 14mPHX 06:15 to RAP 12:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.