tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kailua/Kona via Denver: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:15 PHX → 09:00 DEN
    WN 1706 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:15 DEN → 15:37 KOA
    UA 1758 · United · 7h 22m · 85% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 12h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip12h 22mPHX 06:15 to KOA 15:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.