tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas via Houston: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:30 LGA → 13:20 HOU
    WN 1711 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 87% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 HOU → 17:10 DAL
    WN 40 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 75% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 40mLGA 10:30 to DAL 17:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.