tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Nashville: arrives on time 32%

  1. 18:05 SDF → 17:55 BNA
    WN 1712 · Southwest · 50m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 BNA → 22:35 MIA
    WN 4575 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 30mSDF 18:05 to MIA 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.