tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Nashville: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:05 SDF → 17:55 BNA
    WN 1712 · Southwest · 50m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 BNA → 22:02 LAS
    WN 548 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 58mSDF 18:05 to LAS 22:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.