tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Fort Lauderdale via Orlando: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:40 BWI → 20:15 MCO
    WN 172 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 47% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 MCO → 22:40 FLL
    WN 1459 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 63% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 05mBWI 17:40 to FLL 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.