tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Dallas via Orlando: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:40 BWI → 20:15 MCO
    WN 172 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 47% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 MCO → 23:30 DAL
    WN 1973 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 50mBWI 17:40 to DAL 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.