tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 37%

  1. 09:10 DAL → 12:50 MCO
    WN 1725 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 81% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 MCO → 15:55 DCA
    WN 1188 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 45mDAL 09:10 to DCA 15:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.