tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 82%

  1. 22:25 ANC → 05:35 DEN
    WN 173 · Southwest · 5h 10m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 DEN → 09:35 PHX +1 day
    WN 431 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 10mANC 22:25 to PHX 09:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.