tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:00 SMF → 12:55 SEA
    WN 1739 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:59 SEA → 19:05 KOA
    AS 238 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip11h 05mSMF 11:00 to KOA 19:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.