tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Los Angeles via Denver: arrives on time 19%

  1. 17:40 MSY → 19:45 DEN
    WN 1743 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 DEN → 22:40 LAX
    WN 3110 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip6h 55mMSY 17:40 to LAX 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.