tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → St Louis via Denver: arrives on time 12%

  1. 17:40 MSY → 19:45 DEN
    WN 1743 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 DEN → 23:55 STL
    WN 3317 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 15mMSY 17:40 to STL 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.