tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 11%

  1. 17:40 MSY → 19:45 DEN
    WN 1743 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:48 DEN → 23:30 MCI
    WN 4758 · Southwest · 1h 42m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip5h 50mMSY 17:40 to MCI 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.