tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 16:40 DSM → 18:00 MDW
    WN 1755 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 MDW → 22:15 PHX
    WN 2863 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 48% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip7h 35mDSM 16:40 to PHX 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.