tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 50%

  1. 12:05 DSM → 13:10 LAS
    WN 1771 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 LAS → 21:45 MDW
    WN 2274 · Southwest · 3h 38m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip9h 38mDSM 12:05 to MDW 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.