tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:10 DSM → 06:30 MDW
    WN 1772 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 MDW → 10:20 PHX
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 10mDSM 05:10 to PHX 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.