tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Las Vegas via Nashville: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:45 DTW → 11:20 BNA
    WN 1775 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 BNA → 14:15 LAS
    WN 2407 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 30mDTW 10:45 to LAS 14:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.