tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Baltimore via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:55 MDW → 10:05 DTW
    WN 1775 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:50 DTW → 14:26 BWI
    F9 1516 · Frontier · 1h 36m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 31mMDW 07:55 to BWI 14:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.