tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 05:50 SFO → 12:00 MDW
    WN 1779 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MDW → 16:00 CLT
    WN 4343 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 70% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 10mSFO 05:50 to CLT 16:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.