tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:40 DTW → 08:55 MDW
    WN 1781 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MDW → 11:40 MEM
    WN 2824 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 00mDTW 08:40 to MEM 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.