tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 08:40 DTW → 08:55 MDW
    WN 1781 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 86% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:08 MDW → 12:15 SAN
    WN 4648 · Southwest · 4h 08m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 36mDTW 08:40 to SAN 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.