tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 12%

  1. 20:25 DTW → 20:35 MDW
    WN 1782 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 39% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 MDW → 23:25 GRR
    WN 4113 · Southwest · 58m · 50% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection25%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 75% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (25%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip3h 01mDTW 20:25 to GRR 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.