tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 20:25 DTW → 20:35 MDW
    WN 1782 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 39% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 MDW → 00:30 SEA +1 day
    WN 4144 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 57% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 05mDTW 20:25 to SEA 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.