tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Washington via St Louis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 DTW → 07:35 STL
    WN 1783 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 STL → 11:25 DCA
    WN 3905 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 25mDTW 07:00 to DCA 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.