tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New Orleans via St Louis: arrives on time 90%

  1. 07:00 DTW → 07:35 STL
    WN 1783 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 STL → 10:10 MSY
    WN 4780 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 10mDTW 07:00 to MSY 10:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.