tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New York via St Louis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:00 DTW → 07:35 STL
    WN 1783 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:22 STL → 12:56 LGA
    AA 4508 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 56mDTW 07:00 to LGA 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.