tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 84%

  1. 13:15 RDU → 14:45 PHX
    WN 1795 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:55 PHX → 21:05 SEA
    AA 4307 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 10m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 50mRDU 13:15 to SEA 21:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.