tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via New Orleans: arrives on time 62%

  1. 07:50 HOU → 09:00 MSY
    WN 1796 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 MSY → 13:45 LGA
    WN 3008 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 55mHOU 07:50 to LGA 13:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.