tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chicago via New Orleans: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:50 HOU → 09:00 MSY
    WN 1796 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:35 MSY → 15:21 ORD
    AA 4748 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 46m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 31mHOU 07:50 to ORD 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.