tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Detroit via Baltimore: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:10 PWM → 16:55 BWI
    WN 183 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 BWI → 19:35 DTW
    WN 4159 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 25mPWM 15:10 to DTW 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.