tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:15 EUG → 12:40 SAN
    WN 1838 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:32 SAN → 14:58 PHX
    WN 765 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 42mEUG 10:15 to PHX 14:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.