tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Eugene → San Diego via San Jose: arrives on time 25%

  1. 18:40 EUG → 20:15 SJC
    WN 1839 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Jose (SJC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 SJC → 22:30 SAN
    WN 4265 · Southwest · 1h 28m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip3h 53mEUG 18:40 to SAN 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.